The Singularity Report
Editor · David Solheim
A paper of record for the Great Transition — the Singularity, ASI, and exponential growth.
ASI Arrival Clock · TSR
2028earliest2032central2035
- Last revised
- 4 September 2026, 20:23 UTC
- Direction
- opening
- Why
- The compounded growth effects of recursive improvement of coding systems will lead to an intelligence explosion.
- How the clock moves
- Methodology
Latest articles
All articlesTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
WebArxiv: A Reproducible Benchmark for Evaluating Multimodal Web Agents on arXiv TasksTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
RankCert: When Can Simulated Learners Safely Select an AI Tutor? Robust Decision CertificationTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
eXplaining to Learn (eX2L): Regularization Using Contrastive Visual Explanation Pairs forTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Refusal without Discrimination: What Encoded Prompts Do to Safety-Trained ModelsTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Queer inclusion in speech datasets: An audit and taxonomy of practical tensionsTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Agent Memory: Characterization and System Implications of Stateful Long-Horizon WorkloadsTSR Desk · mathematics · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
FrontierMath Erd\H{o}sTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
FinRED: An Expert-Guided Benchmark Generation and Evaluation Framework for Financial LLMTSR Desk · physics · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Federating Quantum and Classical Computing: A Privacy-Preserving Hybrid ApproachTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
EADC: Evaluation of Advanced and Deep-level Compliance in Large Language ModelsTSR Desk · energy · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Evaluating Accuracy and Probabilistic Reliability of Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation ModelsTSR Desk · science · 24 September 2026, 01:00 UTC
Testing-Driven Reliability Audit of Trajectory-Based Early Outcome Prediction for LLM Agents:
Latest anchor
We introduce WebArxiv, a static-snapshot benchmark comprising 510 time-invariant tasks, each with a unique deterministic ground truth. It comes from a paper posted to arXiv on 23 September 2026. Foundation models now enable autonomous agents to interact with real-world websites, but existing benchmarks emphasize general-purpose browsing, underrepresent research-oriented environments and scholarly discovery workflows, and often depend on live sites whose changing content and structure undermine reproducibility. arXiv provides a realistic, reproducible, hierarchically structured, information-centric testbed without privacy-sensitive interactions. Its diverse, realistic scholarly tasks go beyond simple information lookup and rule following to emphasize multi-constraint paper retrieval, fine-grained content extraction, and cross-paper comparison. Evaluations of a range of foundation-model-based web agents show that WebArxiv remains challenging. Behavioral analysis reveals that agents over-rely on fixed interaction histories, causing incomplete or repetitive reasoning. We therefore equip agents with a lightweight dynamic-memory mechanism for adaptive retrieval and reasoning over relevant context. The benchmark and code are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/74E4423BVNW/README.md.
Why it counts
We introduce WebArxiv, a static-snapshot benchmark comprising 510 time-invariant tasks, each with a unique deterministic ground truth. The benchmark and code are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/74E4423BVNW/README.md.
Sources
Primary source: primary source
What is not known
This brief does not claim independent replication. Claims that appear only on X and not in the primary source stay unknown.
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